Great Winners over the jumps and on the flat!
“The Betway Chase (Racing Post Chase to most of us) features the second, third,
fourth and fifth from the 2019 renewal, none of which seem to be re-opposing on significantly better terms. I get the argument that Adrien Du Pont may have been a bit unlucky last year but doesn’t interest me at 5/1 fav (interesting to note though that Christmas before last he easily beat Just A Sting over CD on
similar terms). I’m taking the angle that better ground will see significant improvement in one of last year’s better novices who may be over-priced as he’s
failed to shine this season in testing conditions: Mister Malarky – 0.5 point eachway @ 16/1” WON 9/1
The Befair Hurdle.
“worth noting is Paul Nicholl’s record in the race and he has two that could
bounce back at massive prices: Pic D’Orhy [WON 33/1]and Tamarac Du
Mathan [5th 50/1]. It takes a big leap pf faith that either will show significant
improvement for a sounder surface but at those prices, worth taking a punt.”
“On Boxing Day the betting race for me of the Kempton card is the novices handicap chase (1:20) where several appeal, particularly the well-treated fav Roll Again, but at the prices I’m keen on the improving Commanche Red who is unlikely to meet anything of the class of his last two conquerors: Reserve Tank or Nube Negra and looks the value… – 0.5 points each-way @ 10/1” WON 4/1
“At Southwell’s evening fixture Bee Machine may be worth a punt at a big price. He ran better than the finishing position suggests last time out and, although he has a wide berth again, if he can get tucked in he has a chance and on that form shouldn’t be more than twice the price of Break The Silence – 0.5 points each-way @ 16/1” WON 8/1
“Hamish is interesting as he’s been running well over trips that on breeding are short enough for him, the form of his last effort at Newbury is working out well. My confidence is tempered slightly by the fact that I’m not convinced that he wants fast ground but at 11/1 (12’s in places) he’s worth a wager” WON 7/1
Don’t Forget the previous season – Diocletian WON 33/1 [BSP 70.0]