Day 4

Triumph Hurdle

Writing this after the weekend of the Adonis hurdle, the assessment has a completely different complexion to how it was looking last week after the emphatic performance of Solo in the last recognised trial. Up until then the juvenile division had revolved around the three powerful front runners: Allmankind, Goshen and Aspire Tower, all of which have impressed with powerful performances making the running. I have been firmly in the Allmankind camp but I am concerned with what would happen with the scenario of those three all taking each other on for the lead. Like the Arkle when Petit Mouchoir and Saint Calvados went head-to-head for the lead and cut each other’s throats in the process. The way Solo ran at Kempton, he could be even better off of a strong pace as he was very keen in the early stages. At this stage I will stick with my original choice but go each-way against Solo (3/1):
Allmankind each-way @ 9/2 NRNB

Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle

Obviously, this race will take more shape once we know who’s competing in the Ballymore on Wednesday (and to some extent in the Supreme on the opening day. Thyme Hill has been competing in graded races over CD all season but he would be interesting if connections decided to step him up in trip and avoid a hot Ballymore. Colin Tizzard has a good bunch of novice hurdlers and it depends how he shuffles the pack but The Big Breakaway (12/1) looks likely to go here after a facile victory over 2 1/m at Newbury before Christmas and the form looks solid but the Somerset trainer also has Harry Senior (10/1) after winning the Grade 2 on trials day – both sets of form look solid. I’ve already mentioned the strength of Mrs Donnelly’s novice hurdlers and as well as Shishkin and Asterion Forlonge she is in the enviable position of choosing which race The Big Getaway (20/1) can go for; he won a Naas maiden hurdle by 17 lengths last time out. Ramses De Teillee (12/1) really shouldn’t be allowed to run in this but you can’t blame connections for exploiting the conditions. I’m sure the concept of a 3m novice championship wasn’t introduced for experienced chasers that have placed in the Welsh National but who never won a hurdle before going chasing, but they’re not breaking any rules and he has a live chance after collecting two trial races en route. Gordon Elliott currently has
Easywork (25/1) who ran second to Asterion Forlonge at the Dublin festival, that form has been franked already and the same connection have Fury Road (14/1) who was fourth to Latest Exhibition (6/1) at Dublin. The Mullins/Ricci partnership have multiple entries with Monkfish (11/2) appearing to be the best of them after a demolition job over 2m 6f at Thurles, he should have no problem staying the 3m. One dark horse they may have is Aione (33/1) who has been progressing nicely and may have crept under the radar. The market will tape shape, at the 48-hour stage, not only once runners are declared but when punters have a better clue of the strongest novice form from the Supreme and Ballymore; like when Bobsworth won in 2011.

Easywork each-way @ 25/1 NRNB; Harry Senior each-way 10/1 NRNB

Gold Cup

TBA

Conditionals Handicap Hurdle

At the time of writing no weights have been published but I have one on my radar for this with Column Of Fire who really caught the eye with a good second in Dublin. Elliott loves to win this and usually lays one out for it. You can get 8/1 NRNB but also tempting is Hills’ 8/1 to win any race at the festival as even the best laid plans need to be flexible for changing circumstances:
Column Of Fire each-way @ 8/1 NRNB; or 8/1 to win any race at the festival

 

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