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LATEST...IN THE LAST WEEK!!!

 

"I don’t understand the pricing-up at Wetherby, granted Kauto Riko won impressively last time out but he’s now 8lbs worse off with Beau Bay for a neck ‘defeat’ in March and  the favourite is worth taking on at 13/8 with Kerry Lee out-of-form - 1 point win @ 4/1"  WON 11/4

 

"Grey Mist may have got home by only a short head over CD last month but I strongly fancied the second that day and they pulled well clear of the third and may have been under-estimated - 1 point win @ 4/1"  WON 5/6

 

"I’m scratching my head as to why Elysees Palace gets in here only 3lbs higher than when winning a class 4 handicap over course and distance and is 6/4… I must be missing something - 1 point win @ 6/4"  WON 8/11

 

"Monsieur Le Coq a really impressive winning a novice hurdle easily from Chambard - who was strongly supported on the day and should be winning soon – I expected a bigger hike than 5lbs. The ground was heavy that day and Jane Williams’ gelding has to prove he can repeat the performance on better ground, in a higher grade and that 2m isn’t too sharp (a likely improver over a further) he’s worth a bet at 7/2"  WON 11/4

 

"Thunder Buddy put up a thoroughly encouraging fibresand debut and ought to be right in the mix here off of the same mark. That effort came after a 5-month break and, bred for fibresand, the gelding is expected to show further improvement"   WON 9/2

 

"Star Ascending [NAP] gets the vote now back on a competitive mark over CD he excels at and the form of his previous race looks decent"  3rd 25/1

 

"Knockgraffon kicked us off to a winning start last year and, off a lower mark, looks a decent price to repeat the feat – 1 point win @ 11/4"  WON 4/1

 

...CHRISTMAS 2018...

 

"... I’m always keen to forgive a bad run, partly because you can get a decent price next time out, so I’m keen to give Padleyourowncanoe [NAP] another chance after his Newbury disappointment. Now only 3lbs higher than when fourth in the Fred Winter and with Harry Kimber claiming a further 10lbs I expect him to be competitive. (14/1 each-way, BetVictor 12/1 4 places)"  WON 13/2

 

"Sir Egbert is potentially a vulnerable odds-on jolly; he won well last time out but his trainer was quoted as saying: "he's a heavy horse with bad knees and really needs testing ground" it doesn't look like it will be bad ground and Cesar Collonges is a bit of each-way value"  WON 7/1

 

"Lake View Lad may be a bit of an each-way steal at 11/2 and 1/4 odds with Bet365. I fully expected him to be fav and he was on early tissues but support for other has resulted in a bit of value"   WON 5/1

 

"Eternally Yours has a great chance of landing the mares handicap hurdle after her encouraging return to the track when just failing to land the spoils (11/8)"  WON 5/4

 

"Queenofhearts (NAP) looks over-priced to me at 11/4 – I had her down as the fav after an excellent second last time out at Chepstow, a race in which the 3rd, 4th and 5th have all came out an won on their next outing. Danse Idol sets the standard but the selection proved herself a decent mare by winning a prestigious mares NH flat race at Sandown last season and looks worth a bet."  WON 11/8 fav

 

...DECEMBER 2018...

 

"Showboating may be a 10-y-o but his form at the track is at least a stone better than on any other surface. After some moderate runs elsewhere his mark has slipped 17lbs lower than when contesting a class 3 at the track in May and he has to be worth a bet @ 10/1 each-way"   WON 13/2

 

"I can understand why Western Duke is the tissue fav for the penultimate race at Wolves but there’s enough doubts for me to oppose it with the lightly raced Aircraft Carrier who can reverse the form with Charlie D after being left with too much to do when they met last time out. 7/2 is a fair price"   WON 5/2

 

"Midnight Shadow has to be backed at 13/2 based on his heavy ground form against Mont Des Avaloirs on the card last year, the current fav Notwhatiam (3rd 9/1) has some shocking form in testing conditions and I’ll be amazed if it goes off as market leader"   WON 4/1

 

"Contrive looks to have been given a chance to record her third win in four starts, the other effort was a second in a class 2 at Newmarket, having been raised on 3lbs for her last win. The small swing in favour of Golden Iris shouldn’t be enough for that filly to reverse the form (7/2 [rule 4])"   WON 9/4

 

"Black Mischief looks to be a bit of value in a competitive handicap hurdle....on an upwards curve until falling last time out at Market Rasen when mounting a serious challenge; the winner that day has since gone up a stone. Harry Fry has his yard in good form and the champion jockey replaces the amateur that rode last time out.@ 11/2 each-way the selection looks the bet."   WON 6/1

 

"An each-way angle with Jellmood currently priced-up at 16/1 has slipped to his lowest ever rating after a couple of disappointing efforts since having a wind op. A repeat of his novice win a year ago would put him in with a shout here off of 85. It will take a leap of faith to hope he’s back to his best but at the prices it’s a risk worth taking."  2nd 12/1

 

"Speedo Boy could be the best handicapped horse of the day on a perch of 118 after his fine run in the Cambridgeshire and has a favourites chance here "  WON 4/1

 

"Loose Chips is proven at the track and after an encouraging seasonal debut at Carlisle he looks worth a bet to add to his course wins - 1 point win at 13/2"   WON 7/1

 

"I can’t remember putting up a horse that’s run twice and finished 12th and 11th but Battle Of Waterloo is worth a second look. He was a bit of an eye-catcher when 150/1 on debut at HQ when not getting a clear run in a race that now looks to have been decent. Backed into 9/2 next time out at Yarmouth he ran too freely and wasn’t suited by the softer ground. He could be a bit of each-way value against the long odds-on fav here (20/1 from 33/1 first show)"   WON 10/1

 

"I fully expected Contrive to be favourite so I’m delighted to see she doesn’t head the market. She finished a close second in a class 2 fillies handicap last time out, a race in which the third and fourth had won last time out. She seems progressive and a 3lb rise seems lenient and with this drop in grade she should be in the mix."  WON 4/1

 

"C/D winner Kingston Kurrajong also takes a drop in grade having slipped to a winnable mark and looks worth an each-way interest @ 16/1"  2nd 13/2

 

 

 

Selections are proofed to RACING INDEX not all Twitter bets are recorded and each-way bets are rarely proofed as each-way. Note the results are reported at SP/BSP not at the prices advised.

 

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